Is the bubble about to burst

April, 2021

  • As we enter spring, the average UK house price is £232,134, up 6% on March 2020. Transactions are 49% higher than last year, reflecting a surge in sales agreed in summer and the rush to beat the SDLT holiday.
  • House price growth in March slowed (-0.2%), indicating a softening of demand ahead of the original SDLT holiday deadline. Monthly mortgage approvals also slowed in February (-11%).
  • Demand spiked after the announcement of a SDLT holiday extension in England, Wales and N.Ireland. With demand up 13% and flow of new supply down -13%, we expect upward pressure on house prices.
  • We are likely to see an increase in new listings, as sellers become more comfortable with viewings, as restrictions ease. Source: Dataloft, Nationwide, HMRC, Bank of England, Zoopla

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